Bitcoin has been struggling to break through the critical resistance level of $68,300, with recent data showing a sharp rise in whale activity. According to Santiment, large investors have executed 11,697 transactions, creating increased selling pressure in the market. Technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin could see a potential pullback to the $65,000 level if the current trend continues.
Recent Whale Movements and Market Dynamics
In recent days, the crypto market has seen notable fluctuations. Bitcoin attempted to breach the $68,300 resistance twice but failed both times, stabilizing around $67,670. For the first time in months, significant whale activity has been observed, signaling that large investors might be taking control of market movements again. In this article, we’ll explore the latest developments and potential scenarios for Bitcoin based on these market dynamics.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin
Looking at Bitcoin’s daily charts, it’s evident that the cryptocurrency is facing substantial resistance at its current levels. Since March, new resistance levels have emerged, making it harder for Bitcoin to maintain its upward trend. These resistance levels represent critical points that investors should closely monitor. On the hourly charts, Bitcoin has bounced off the $66,650 support level after failing to break past $68,300. The MACD histogram shows that buyers are losing momentum, currently hovering at 63.7, indicating a weakening of buying pressure.
Additionally, the RSI indicator is signaling a potential correction, showing a divergence that may lead to a price drop. For this divergence to be resolved, Bitcoin may need to retrace to the $65,000 level.
Increased Whale Activity
Santiment data reveals that there has been a notable increase in whale activity, with large holders executing over 11,697 transactions in the past two days, each exceeding $100,000. This level of whale movement hasn’t been seen since August 4th during the Japanese stock market crash. The sudden surge in whale transactions could be a precursor to significant market changes.
Furthermore, Coinglass data shows that whales are maintaining short positions on Bitcoin at current and higher price levels. Short positions are concentrated around $68,500, $69,000, and $69,500, which explains why Bitcoin is struggling to surpass the $68,300 resistance. This suggests that selling pressure is building, preventing Bitcoin from making further gains.
Market Expectations and Possible Scenarios
While some in the crypto community remain optimistic about a major rally in Bitcoin’s price, current data points to the need for caution. The RSI correction signal, combined with potential whale profit-taking, could push the price downward. If large investors begin to reduce their positions and take profits, it could trigger a domino effect, leading to a further decline in the market.
Breaking through the current resistance levels requires strong buyer support and high trading volume. Without these, Bitcoin is likely to either consolidate at its current levels or face a pullback. Investors are advised to closely monitor the market, utilize technical analysis tools, and prioritize risk management during this period of uncertainty.
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