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Bitcoin price has been on an emotional rollercoaster lately, keeping investors on the edge of their seats. After surging past the highly anticipated $100,000 milestone, BTC has since pulled back, dipping below the six-figure mark, the media reports suggested on Tuesday. But here’s the catch—it’s still holding strong above $98,000, showing resilience despite increased volatility.
This Bitcoin price action comes at a time when global markets are rattled by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. The recent U.S.-China trade disputes and looming concerns over inflation and Federal Reserve policies have shaken traditional markets, and Bitcoin hasn’t been immune to the turbulence.
But despite all the short-term fear, institutional investors are doubling down. Companies like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) have added thousands of BTC to their balance sheets, betting that Bitcoin price is poised for long-term growth. Bitcoin ETFs, led by BlackRock and Fidelity, are attracting billions of dollars in inflows, and the supply of BTC on exchanges is dropping to multi-year lows.
So, the big question: Is Bitcoin price gearing up for another leg up, or is this a warning sign of a deeper correction?
Bullish or Bearish? Bitcoin’s Key Battleground
Right now, Bitcoin price is locked in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
- The bulls argue that BTC is consolidating before a major breakout, fueled by institutional demand, shrinking supply, and the long-term macro trend favoring scarce assets like Bitcoin.
- The bears, however, believe Bitcoin’s recent rally might have been overextended, and a further correction is needed before BTC can sustain a move above $100K.
With Bitcoin price stuck between $91K and $102K for over 75 days, we’re approaching a make-or-break moment.
So, is Bitcoin price primed for a rally past $100K? Or are we looking at more turbulence before another big move?
Let’s break it all down.
Here’s the Strategy’s Bitcoin Holdings Over Time chart. It shows how the company has aggressively accumulated Bitcoin since 2020, with a massive jump in holdings in early 2025.
Why Is Strategy Buying So Much Bitcoin?
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Bitcoin as a Corporate Treasury Asset
- Strategy believes BTC is a better store of value than cash or bonds.
- Inflation continues to eat away at corporate cash reserves, making BTC an attractive alternative.
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Long-Term Confidence in BTC’s Growth
- The firm isn’t just betting on Bitcoin as a speculative asset; it sees BTC as the future of money.
- Strategy is willing to take short-term losses for long-term exponential gains.
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Leveraging Market Dips to Accumulate More BTC
- Every time Bitcoin drops, Strategy buys more instead of selling.
- This signals strong confidence that BTC will reach much higher price levels in the future.
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Institutional FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
- Strategy’s aggressive BTC accumulation may trigger other corporations and hedge funds to follow suit.
- If more firms allocate just a small percentage of their balance sheets to BTC, demand could skyrocket.
How Does Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Compare to Other Companies?
While Strategy is by far the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, it’s not alone. Other publicly traded companies are joining the movement.
| Company | BTC Holdings | Total USD Value (at $98K/BTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Strategy (MSTR) | 478,740 BTC | $47B |
| Tesla | 10,725 BTC | $1.05B |
| Marathon Digital | 15,200 BTC | $1.49B |
| Hut 8 Mining | 9,100 BTC | $890M |
| Gumi (Japan) | $6.6M worth | New entrant |
What’s Next for Strategy & Corporate Bitcoin Adoption?
With institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Vanguard launching Bitcoin ETFs, we could see more companies holding BTC as a reserve asset.
Strategy has shown that holding Bitcoin on the balance sheet isn’t just a crazy idea—it’s a viable corporate strategy. And with interest rates expected to drop in the future, companies sitting on cash may seriously consider Bitcoin as an alternative store of value.
💡 Final Takeaway:
Institutional accumulation is one of the strongest bullish signals for Bitcoin price. When big players like Strategy keep stacking BTC, it reduces the circulating supply, creating a supply squeeze that could drive prices higher in the coming months.
Here’s the Bitcoin Exchange Outflows vs. Price Movements chart. As you can see, each time a large BTC outflow happened, Bitcoin price surged in the months that followed. If this trend continues, we might be on the verge of another breakout.
Why Are Investors Withdrawing Bitcoin from Exchanges?
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Strong Institutional Accumulation
- Major institutions, like Strategy, BlackRock, and Fidelity, are accumulating Bitcoin at an increasing pace.
- Long-term holders prefer to store BTC in private cold wallets, reducing supply on exchanges.
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Anticipation of Higher Prices
- Many investors believe Bitcoin will surpass $100K soon.
- Rather than keeping BTC on an exchange (where it can be sold easily), they’re locking it away for the long haul.
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Reduced Sell Pressure
- When Bitcoin is moved to private wallets, it reduces the likelihood of sudden sell-offs.
- The fewer BTC available for trading, the harder it becomes for bears to push prices lower.
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Fear of Regulatory Crackdowns
- Some investors are withdrawing BTC due to concerns over exchange regulations and security risks.
- In the past, exchange failures (like FTX) led to mass withdrawals as people sought safer storage options.
What Does This Mean for Bitcoin Price?
When we analyze supply and demand, low exchange reserves historically precede bull runs. With fewer BTC available for sale, any increase in demand could push prices up dramatically.
Key levels to watch:
- Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges: If the decline continues, it could be a leading indicator of a new rally.
- Whale Accumulation: If large wallets continue buying BTC, expect stronger price support.
- Breakout Confirmation: If Bitcoin breaks above $100K, it could trigger FOMO buying, sending prices higher.
💡 Takeaway:
Bitcoin’s exchange supply is at multi-year lows, signaling strong investor confidence. If this trend continues, we might be looking at another parabolic move in 2025.
Here’s the Bitcoin Performance vs. Fed Rate Changes chart. It highlights an important trend:
- When interest rates were low (2020-2021), Bitcoin surged.
- As the Fed hiked rates (2022-2024), Bitcoin struggled.
- Now, with rates high (2025), BTC is rebounding as investors anticipate a future rate cut.
If the Fed starts cutting rates, Bitcoin could experience another major rally due to increased liquidity in the market.
3. Geopolitical and Trade War Uncertainty
Bitcoin is increasingly behaving more like a risk-on asset—similar to equities—rather than a pure hedge against inflation. This means it reacts strongly to global economic developments.
One major factor affecting Bitcoin price right now? The U.S.-China trade war.
- The Biden administration’s new tariffs on Chinese imports have rattled markets.
- Equities have shown weakness, and Bitcoin followed suit.
- Investors are watching to see if BTC can decouple from stocks and behave more like a store of value instead of a high-beta risk asset.
Final Takeaway:
Macroeconomic trends—inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical risks—will play a massive role in Bitcoin’s future trajectory.
- If inflation expectations continue to rise, Bitcoin could regain its store-of-value narrative.
- If the Fed cuts rates, BTC could see a surge in demand.
- But if macro conditions worsen, Bitcoin could remain volatile in the short term.
Here’s the Bitcoin Key Support & Resistance Levels chart. It highlights the crucial price zones traders are watching:
- $98,800 is the key breakout level
- $100,594 is the upside target if BTC pushes through
- $97,277 and $95,089 are the major support levels
What Happens If Bitcoin Breaks Above $98,800?
If BTC manages to hold above $98,800, we could see:
✅ A rapid push toward $100K, fueled by momentum traders.
✅ A short squeeze triggering liquidations of $1.25 billion in shorts.
✅ A potential rally toward $102K-$105K, if volume confirms the breakout.
Historically, when Bitcoin breaks a key resistance zone with strong buying volume, price tends to move fast and aggressively in the breakout direction.
What Happens If Bitcoin Price Gets Rejected at $98,800?
If Bitcoin price fails to break through $98,800, we could see:
❌ A drop toward $97,277, where the 50-EMA provides support.
❌ A test of $95,089, if sellers take control.
❌ More sideways consolidation between $95K and $98K, delaying a bigger move.
The worst-case scenario? If Bitcoin loses $95K support, it could invite a deeper correction to $91K.
Trading Strategy: How to Play This Breakout Zone?
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For Bulls:
✅ Watch for Bitcoin price to reclaim $98,800 with strong buying volume before entering long positions.
✅ Target areas: $100K, $102K, and $105K on a confirmed breakout.
✅ Use a stop-loss below $97,000 to manage risk. -
For Bears:
❌ If Bitcoin price gets rejected at $98,800, shorting opportunities could arise.
❌ Target areas: $97K and $95K if price breaks down.
❌ Watch for weak buying volume, which could signal a fake breakout.
💡 Final Takeaway:
Bitcoin is at a crossroads, battling a major resistance zone at $98,800.
- A break above this level could trigger a move past $100K.
- A rejection could send BTC back toward $97K or even $95K.
- Traders should watch volume closely, as it will determine whether this is a real breakout or just another fakeout.
105K Traders Liquidated—How Leverage Is Shaking Up the Market
The recent Bitcoin price swings haven’t just been a test of patience for long-term holders—they’ve also caused massive liquidations in the derivatives market.
Over the past 24 hours, more than 110,923 traders were liquidated, with approximately $182 million wiped out. This included $105.61 million in long positions and $77.01 million in shorts.
With high leverage positions getting crushed, traders are left wondering: Will Bitcoin’s next big move trigger another wave of liquidations?
Why Are So Many Traders Getting Liquidated?
Liquidations happen when traders using leverage can’t cover their margin requirements, causing their positions to be automatically closed.
What’s Causing This?
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Bitcoin Price Volatility
- BTC dropped below $97,000, hitting key liquidation zones.
- Many traders were overleveraged, amplifying price swings.
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The Fight Between Bulls and Bears
- Some traders were longing BTC above $100K, expecting a breakout.
- Others were shorting BTC, hoping for a move toward $95K.
- Both sides got wrecked as Bitcoin kept swinging between $96K-$98K.
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Bitcoin’s Battle at Key Resistance
- Bitcoin faces resistance at $98,800 (20-day EMA).
- If BTC reclaims $99,100, shorts worth $1.25 billion will be wiped out.
Here’s the Bitcoin Liquidations (Longs vs. Shorts) Over the Past 24 Hours chart. It shows that long traders were hit the hardest, losing $105.61 million, while shorts lost $77.01 million.
What Happens Next?
Scenario 1: Bitcoin Price Breaks Above $99,100
If Bitcoin price pushes past $99,100, it will trigger a massive short squeeze, liquidating over $1.25 billion in short positions. This could lead to:
✅ A surge toward $102K-$105K as liquidations fuel upward momentum.
✅ A domino effect, where bears rush to cover positions, pushing BTC even higher.
Scenario 2: Bitcoin Price Fails to Break Resistance
If Bitcoin price fails to clear $98,800-$99,100, we could see:
❌ More long liquidations as weak hands get shaken out.
❌ A move down toward $97K or even $95K.
❌ Another round of sideways consolidation, delaying a clear breakout.
Here’s the Bitcoin Short Squeeze Potential chart. It highlights how a breakout above $99,100 could trigger $1.25 billion in liquidations, and reclaiming $100K could wipe out $1.8 billion in short positions.
How Traders Can Avoid Getting Liquidated
With high volatility in play, risk management is critical. Here’s how traders can protect themselves:
✅ Use Stop Losses
- Placing a stop loss below key support levels prevents major losses.
✅ Lower Leverage
- Overleveraging is dangerous—it’s better to use 2-5x leverage instead of extreme 50-100x positions.
✅ Watch Volume & Key Levels
- A strong breakout requires high volume.
- Weak volume near resistance could mean a fakeout before another drop.
💡 Final Takeaway:
- Bitcoin’s high volatility is liquidating overleveraged traders.
- If BTC breaks $99,100, a massive short squeeze could send it past $100K.
- Traders should be cautious, as price swings are wiping out both long and short positions.
Here’s the Bitcoin vs. Gold Price Trends Over the Years chart. It shows that:
- Gold has steadily increased in value over time, maintaining its reputation as a reliable store of value.
- Bitcoin, on the other hand, has been highly volatile, experiencing massive booms and busts.
- While BTC has delivered bigger gains, its price movements don’t yet reflect the same stability as gold.
Why is Gold Outperforming Bitcoin in 2025?
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Gold Has an Established Safe-Haven Status
- Investors have trusted gold as a store of value for thousands of years.
- In times of economic uncertainty, gold is a go-to asset for stability.
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Bitcoin is Still Seen as a Risk-On Asset
- Bitcoin is behaving more like a high-beta tech stock, moving in correlation with the S&P 500.
- This makes BTC vulnerable to market downturns, unlike gold, which tends to rise in uncertain times.
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Institutional Adoption is Still Maturing
- While companies like BlackRock and Strategy are accumulating Bitcoin, gold ETFs still dominate institutional portfolios.
- Bitcoin ETFs are relatively new, and mainstream institutions are not fully onboard yet.
Bitcoin’s Path to Becoming a True Store of Value
For Bitcoin to truly compete with gold, it needs to: ✅ Maintain long-term price stability
✅ Decouple from stock market volatility
✅ See broader institutional adoption
If Bitcoin price can hold above $100K and stabilize, it could start attracting bigger money from conservative investors who currently favor gold.
Final Takeaway:
- Gold is still the dominant store of value in 2025, with a steady 9% YTD increase.
- Bitcoin remains volatile, acting more like a high-growth tech stock than digital gold.
- For BTC to fully replace gold as a hedge, it needs more stability, less correlation with stocks, and broader institutional trust.
More Public Companies Are Buying Bitcoin—A Growing Trend
Bitcoin adoption isn’t just happening at the retail level—more publicly traded companies are adding BTC to their balance sheets as part of a long-term investment strategy.
This trend was pioneered by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and Tesla, but now we’re seeing a wave of new corporations, financial firms, and even gaming studios making Bitcoin a core part of their treasury strategy.
Let’s break down who’s buying, why they’re doing it, and what this means for Bitcoin’s future.
Which Public Companies Are Holding Bitcoin?
While Strategy is the undisputed leader, more companies are joining the Bitcoin bandwagon.
| Company | BTC Holdings | Total USD Value (at $98K/BTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Strategy (MSTR) | 478,740 BTC | $47B |
| Tesla | 10,725 BTC | $1.05B |
| Marathon Digital | 15,200 BTC | $1.49B |
| Hut 8 Mining | 9,100 BTC | $890M |
| Gumi (Japan) | $6.6M worth | New entrant |
| Metaplanet (Japan) | $60M in BTC | Japanese firm increasing exposure |
Even Japanese companies are now getting involved, with gaming studio Gumi and investment firm Metaplanet adding Bitcoin to their corporate balance sheets.
Here’s the Growth of Public Companies Holding Bitcoin chart. It highlights the dominant role of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), but also shows how Tesla, Marathon Digital, and newer players like Gumi and Metaplanet are expanding corporate Bitcoin adoption.
Why Are Public Companies Buying Bitcoin?
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Hedge Against Inflation & Fiat Devaluation
- With rising inflation expectations, companies are looking for non-traditional ways to preserve value.
- Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins makes it an attractive hedge.
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Institutional Legitimacy & ETFs
- The launch of Bitcoin ETFs from major asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity has increased corporate confidence.
- Bitcoin is now seen as a legitimate financial asset, not just a speculative play.
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First-Mover Advantage
- Companies like Strategy and Marathon Digital believe that buying Bitcoin early will give them a competitive edge.
- If BTC continues to appreciate, these firms could see massive balance sheet growth.
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Positive Shareholder Sentiment
- Bitcoin-exposed companies have outperformed traditional firms in many cases.
- Strategy’s Bitcoin-focused approach has driven its stock price up nearly 200% over the last two years.
What Does This Mean for Bitcoin’s Future?
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Bitcoin is becoming a corporate asset class.
- Just as companies hold gold or treasury bonds, they’re now allocating portions of their balance sheets to Bitcoin.
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Bitcoin supply is tightening.
- As more companies buy and HODL, the available supply of BTC shrinks, pushing prices higher.
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More institutions will likely follow.
- If Bitcoin breaks past $100K and stabilizes, more large corporations and hedge funds could enter the market.
💡 Final Takeaway:
- More public companies are adding Bitcoin to their corporate treasuries.
- Strategy, Tesla, and Marathon Digital lead the pack, but Japanese firms and financial institutions are catching on.
- This trend tightens Bitcoin supply, making future price surges more likely.
Final Thoughts: Is Bitcoin Headed for a New All-Time High?
Bitcoin is on the verge of a historic moment. With institutional adoption ramping up, supply shrinking, and macroeconomic conditions shifting, the question isn’t if Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high—it’s when.
But before we get ahead of ourselves, let’s take a step back and analyze where we stand today, what could push BTC past $100K, and the risks that could delay a major breakout.
Where Bitcoin Stands Right Now
📌 Current Price: $98,399
📌 Key Resistance: $98,800 – $100,000
📌 Major Support: $97,277 and $95,089
📌 Short Squeeze Potential: $1.25B liquidations if BTC clears $99,100
📌 Institutional Buying: Strategy, Tesla, and other firms increasing holdings
📌 Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation fears, Fed rate policies, U.S.-China trade tensions
Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $91K and $102K for over 75 days, consolidating after hitting six figures for the first time. This kind of sideways movement often precedes explosive moves—either up or down.
What Could Push Bitcoin to a New All-Time High?
1️⃣ Breaking Past $100K—The Psychological Barrier
- Bitcoin has tested $100K multiple times but has yet to sustain a breakout.
- If BTC closes above $100K with strong volume, it could trigger a rally to $110K-$120K.
2️⃣ Institutional FOMO & ETF Demand
- Bitcoin ETFs from BlackRock and Fidelity are already attracting billions of dollars in inflows.
- If traditional finance allocates just 1% of portfolios to BTC, demand will skyrocket.
3️⃣ Supply Squeeze from Corporate & Long-Term Holders
- Public companies are buying BTC at an accelerating pace.
- Bitcoin held on exchanges is at a multi-year low, reducing sell pressure.
4️⃣ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
- The Fed is expected to start cutting interest rates in late 2025.
- Lower rates mean more liquidity in the market, making Bitcoin an attractive investment again.
Here’s the Bitcoin’s Path to New All-Time Highs chart. It shows key price targets if Bitcoin successfully breaks past $100K:
- $110K is the next major resistance level
- $120K could be a new all-time high
- $150K is a longer-term moonshot target
What Could Delay Bitcoin’s Breakout?
While Bitcoin has strong momentum, there are risks that could prevent a rapid move higher.
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Uncertainty
- If inflation spikes and the Fed delays rate cuts, risk assets like Bitcoin could face headwinds.
- The U.S.-China trade war could spook investors, making BTC behave more like a risk-on asset than a hedge.
2️⃣ Profit-Taking from Long-Term Holders
- Some early investors and miners might sell at $100K, creating temporary resistance.
- The market needs strong new buyers to absorb this selling pressure.
3️⃣ Regulatory Crackdowns
- Governments could impose stricter regulations on Bitcoin ETFs or corporate BTC holdings.
- Any negative policy changes could slow institutional adoption.
Final Takeaway: Are We in a New Bitcoin Supercycle?
✅ Bitcoin’s fundamentals are stronger than ever.
✅ Institutional demand is growing, with ETFs fueling adoption.
✅ Exchange supply is shrinking, reducing sell pressure.
✅ If BTC clears $100K, a surge toward $110K-$120K is likely.
💡 Final Thoughts:
- If bullish catalysts align, Bitcoin could enter a new supercycle, pushing well beyond its previous highs.
- However, macro risks and resistance levels at $100K-$110K could cause short-term pullbacks.
- Investors should watch volume, Fed decisions, and institutional inflows closely.
Wrapping Up: Bitcoin’s Big Moment is Coming
Bitcoin’s next few weeks could define 2025’s price trajectory.
Will we see a historic breakout above $100K or a temporary pullback before the next leg up?
One thing’s for sure—the crypto market is heating up, and Bitcoin’s biggest move may be just around the corner.
Stay tuned. The next Bitcoin supercycle might just be beginning.
FAQs:
1. Why is Bitcoin’s price so volatile?
Bitcoin reacts to macroeconomic trends, market sentiment, and technical factors, making it more volatile than traditional assets.
2. What’s driving institutional Bitcoin buying?
Companies like Strategy see Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and a long-term store of value.
3. How does Fed policy affect Bitcoin?
Rate cuts = bullish for Bitcoin (more liquidity). Rate hikes = bearish (tighter financial conditions).
4. Is Bitcoin a store of value like gold?
Bitcoin is shifting toward a risk-on asset, but some still view it as digital gold.
5. What price levels should traders watch?
BTC must break $98,800 for a bullish move; failure could send it to $95K.
References:
Crypto News – cryptonews.com
Coin Speaker – coinspeaker.com
Crypto Potato – cryptopatato.com
Coin Telegraph – cointelegraph.com
